Lab · Review · Office and development · 12 Nov 2026

Office-to-apartment conversions. The pipeline is 90,300 units, ten metros hold more than half of it, and most buildings still do not pencil without help.

A conversion is a development deal on a building the lender already knows. A national rent-data series counts the units in the pipeline by metro; a policy-research study and a city fiscal review tested what the numbers do. This review puts the two side by side, and says where the evidence is thin.

A black-and-white photograph of an office building
Conversion pipeline units, ten metrosВыведено
49,374 units
54.7 % of the 90,300-unit national pipeline
Summed from the national rent-data series’ metro counts ·
Photo: 世品 苏 / Pexels
The argument in one paragraph

The national rent-data series counts in the pipeline at the start of up in a year; . , and New York alone holds . The policy-research study tested office buildings in six downtowns and found ; the city fiscal review finds a conversion yields a residual land value of . Conversions are real and growing, and most buildings need a subsidy or a high rent to pencil.

Part 1 · The pipeline

New York and Washington hold 24,837 of the 90,300 units. Ten metros hold more than half.

A national rent-data series counts in the conversion pipeline at the start of than a year earlier. ; hotels are and industrial buildings . The metro counts below are office-to-apartment units.

New York leads with . Washington, D.C. follows with , then Chicago , Los Angeles and Dallas . , of the national figure. The report names ten metros, so we cannot rank an eleventh.

The report does not split the pipeline by stage; it is a count of projects filed, not of apartments delivered. We found no completions figure for 2025 in the sources we read, so the page does not give one.

Ten metros: conversion pipeline units, and their share of the national pipelineTap a metro
Нью-Йорк
16,358 units

18.1 % of the 90,300-unit national pipeline. Office-to-apartment units; a pipeline count, not completed apartments.

Conversion pipeline units by metro at the start of 2026, a national rent-data series, reported on 30 March 2026. Office-to-apartment units. Shares calculated by Реалист.

Read the ranking as where developers are filing, not where conversions finish. We did not test whether a program explains the lead. The city fiscal review of the -m exemption is in Part .

The pipeline says where projects are filed. The economics say which of them close.

Part 2 · What pencils

A policy-research study found no viable conversion in five of six markets without a policy change. New York’s exemption roughly doubles the residual land value.

The study tested three office buildings in each of six downtowns. Under average residential rents, occupancy and no incentives, . without a policy change. , и .

The city fiscal review assumes . Under that assumption a market-rate conversion leaves a residual land value of , on a yield-on-cost basis. The pipeline the review studied has , и for the exemption.

A lender-data analysis, next to a benchmark of about per square foot to buy a finished apartment building, puts the cost of buying and converting an office at . These are national averages from the sources quoted, not figures we measured. on a conversion that does not work at current pricing.

The three studies use different buildings, markets and dates, and we did not rerun any of them. They agree on the direction: a conversion has to buy the building far below replacement cost or have its tax bill reduced. The policy study’s result is under no incentives; the fiscal review’s is New York only.

A deal that pencils on paper can still stall.

Part 3 · What stalls

Cost, the building and the capital stall conversions. The sources do not give a count of stalled projects.

We found no count of cancelled or shelved conversion projects in the sources we read, and the rent-data series says nothing on it, so this page does not give a stalled figure. What the sources do name is the cause. The lender-data analysis quotes a developer saying projects are shelved because , and says and that .

The policy study’s model compares keeping the building as an office with converting it, so a building that still earns as an office does not convert. The sources we read do not give a floor-plate or building-age test with a measured cutoff, so the page does not give one.

What this page does not replace: a structural engineer’s survey of the floor plate and the cores, a licensed appraisal of the converted value, a zoning and incentive review for the specific site, and a lender’s own reading of the borrower. The figures here are market-wide; a conversion is decided one building at a time.

Conversion economics are a building-level question, and the pipeline is a map of where they are asked.

Что с этим делать

If you develop or lend on conversions: start from the metro’s program, then the building, then the rent. The pipeline counts projects filed; it does not show the screens that failed.

Реалист’s Underwriting reads the deal’s offering memorandum and operating statement, sets the cost and the rent against each other, and returns the issues and the questions for the borrower.

Источники

Found: from a dated document. Derived: calculated by us from found figures. Estimate: our judgment, with the method.

  • НайденоOffice conversion pipeline, a national rent-data series. Reported 30 Mar 2026 on a report of 24 Mar 2026. Read 12 Nov 2026. document ↗
  • НайденоOffice-to-residential conversions in NYC: economics and fiscal estimates, a city fiscal review. City fiscal review, 17 Jul 2025. Read 12 Nov 2026. document ↗
  • НайденоA community guide to office-to-residential conversion, part 1: economics, a policy-research study. Policy-research study, 9 Jul 2025. Read 12 Nov 2026. document ↗
  • НайденоConversion economics, a lender-data analysis. Lender-data analysis. The figures are the article’s citations of other firms; we did not check them at their origin. Read 12 Nov 2026. document ↗
  • ВыведеноTen metros: 49,374 conversion units, 54.7 % of the national pipeline. Реалист calculation from card F1.
  • EstimateHow we counted, and what the pipeline is not. Реалист estimate of the coverage. Ask us for the working: alexgalt@titleman.ai.

Figures are Реалист calculations from a national rent-data series’ conversion pipeline report (March 2026), a policy-research study (9 July 2025), a city fiscal review (17 July 2025) and a lender-data analysis of conversions, read on 12 November 2026. Pipeline units are office-to-apartment conversions. Реалист’s opinion, not investment or legal advice.